Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Fantasy Preview: First Base

The Studs:
Albert Pujols- Best in the game when he is healthy, but he said he will shut down completely if his injury setbacks continue, so massive risk for first round pick
Prince Fielder- Mashed over 50 HRs last year, should hit close to 50 again
Ryan Howard- Down BA last year should rebound this year
David Ortiz- Expect another big year in a great lineup

The Sleepers:
Mark Teixeira- I know, how can the fifth overall first baseman be a sleeper? Because, he will produce more than some of the studs. He tore it up in 54 games with ATL (.317, 17, 56) and is in a contract year
James Loney- Young Dodger has a ton of talent, and could be a great middle round bargain
Joey Votto- Great late round bargain at a position with a lot of depth. Should earn the starting gig for the Reds over Scott Hatteberg, otherwise he might end up being traded and playing somewhere else (which hurts his value because it won't be hitter friendly Great American Ballpark)
Adrian Gonzalez- Great numbers even playing half of his games in Petco Park, possibly consider him someone to play only on the road, while playing someone else when he plays in spacious Petco. He hit .295 with 20 HRs on the road and .266 with 10 HRs at home.

The Busts:
Todd Helton- Yes, he still plays at Coors. Yes, he will have a good average. But someone will draft him too high because of his name, and not realize that Helton is becoming a 1 (maybe 2 w/ RBI) category threat at a position loaded with talent
Albert Pujols- I just don't trust him to stay healthy all year, and if he gets hurt you lose your top pick
Paul Konerko- He is getting old, and I see him declining this season. All of his numbers dropped last year, a trend which I think will continue
Carlos Pena- He came out of nowhere to jack 46 HRs last year, and I think he will return to under 30 HRs and a BA under .270

No comments: